Category 5 Hurricane

Wagonomics by default don't mean much in a no-early-hammer game, because individual votes during the day don't matter. However, I would say the current scatter of votes might suggest that none of the people voted are scum, albiet a very weak signal.

I can tell you what I think about that, but I'll wait for Orange's answer since you pinged him.

Actually I'm kinda on the fence about it. I don't think I would put up a fight about it either way. While it's true that a miss result strongly suggests a Conscript role, by contrast any result other than miss doesn't say a whole lot. And the chances of getting a miss as a Conscript is still only 56%. Having 2 or 3 Conscripts effectively cleared though, could be powerful. That could be a strong town core and could flip Mafia into wanting to kill the clears rather than the power roles.

This unfortunately means I cannot justify returning fire on him, much as I would like to for his stupid reasoning he used to fire at me in the first place.

I can see why Shade would think this would be a good idea, it's a much more clear effect than before. The fact that the effect is stronger could also mean you get fooled harder when an unlikely event occurs, however.

Wow, now that I've worked out the numbers, Shade missing actually gives him an overwhelming chance of being a Conscript. 75% chance just from the shot. Granted, it starts out at 40% given the fact that there are five of them, but this statistical effect is stronger than the other game due to how unlikely it is for any other role to miss. Miss chance is effectively 56% for a Conscript and nobody else tops 25% chance for that result. His overall chance of being Mafia is reduced from 25% to 10%. From the solo perspective of Shade, that is clearly a good move to make, as long as you get the result you want. Which is just better than a coin flip.

And I'm neutral. Nice to meet you!

Oh, I didn't bother checking what the roles did. I just assumed it was a mirror of our previous ones.

I still don't know what you are talking about.

Training?

That shot was so stupid, that I'm currently working the numbers to decide if I should return fire.

You shouldn't have any particular reason to reject the first choice you were given.

That's a pretty poor way to fish, given that I'd otherwise just be picking at random

I did pick a player for you, Shade. Why ask me for a different option?

@Shade939 why don't you shoot Orange too, and we'll just pretend we don't know what the result was?

what

Shade. Stop.

Why don't you just tell him how you feel?

I'm neutral, just so everyone knows.

I will soon...crush...our enemies!

That is entirely the point!

Really, besides iLTS, Jeod also accidentally put himself in position to get counterclaimed by two players at the same time, with that slip. His slip wasn't that bad, though, he could have tried to say that he just forgot which unit he was.

Mojoman just did everything he could to offer himself as a sacrifice. Because, let's face it, if he didn't, we would have lynched a town power role instead.

Well, Shade had a stuck result as well. Counterclaim Cop?