Shade939 Posted January 2, 2021 Report Posted January 2, 2021 5 minutes ago, Killing_You said: Did it, though? Irish got stuck despite only having a 25% chance to do so, and there were a couple of roles that failed a 50/50 coinflip on either the stuck or hit roll (yourself being one of them). Numbers game can only get us so far, but it can carry scum further than town. Let's not do it. Yeah, Irish was actually the only player to get a non-standard result for his role. Realistically, the numbers game is probably balanced to push things towards a 50/50 chance of catching of Scum with it though. The main benefit of using it this time, is Conscripts can basically self clear as a Conscript, helping narrow down players to be targeted by Night Actions. Also, it occurs to me but we only have one investigative role this game in the form of the Radar Tower. 0 Quote
Killing_You Posted January 2, 2021 Report Posted January 2, 2021 2 minutes ago, ChopBam said: Your avatar keeps making me think that you're Killing_You. Probably doesn't help that I modified my own avatar to better fit the game :P Just look at the red or yellow titles. 0 Quote
OrangeP47 Posted January 2, 2021 Report Posted January 2, 2021 1 minute ago, Killing_You said: Probably doesn't help that I modified my own avatar to better fit the game :P Just look at the red or yellow titles. Clearly Shade deserves a red title 0 Quote
Killing_You Posted January 2, 2021 Report Posted January 2, 2021 1 minute ago, Retaliation said: We should make them fight. Funny as that would be, I'm townreading Shade right now (as in, this is his usual game). Plus I'd rather holster my shot for when it seems necessary. 0 Quote
Retaliation Posted January 2, 2021 Report Posted January 2, 2021 Just now, Killing_You said: Funny as that would be, I'm townreading Shade right now (as in, this is his usual game). Plus I'd rather holster my shot for when it seems necessary. Unacceptable. 0 Quote
Killing_You Posted January 2, 2021 Report Posted January 2, 2021 1 minute ago, Retaliation said: Unacceptable. Too bad. I do as I please, and I please to not be Shooty Shooty Bang Bang. 0 Quote
Retaliation Posted January 2, 2021 Report Posted January 2, 2021 Just now, Killing_You said: Too bad. I do as I please, and I please to not be Shooty Shooty Bang Bang. KY confirmed not vehicle or he would have said Chitty Chitty Bang Bang. 0 Quote
OrangeP47 Posted January 2, 2021 Report Posted January 2, 2021 Retal, what was your plan if you killed me, when everyone saw I was town and you did an oopsie? 0 Quote
Popular Post Retaliation Posted January 2, 2021 Popular Post Report Posted January 2, 2021 2 minutes ago, OrangeP47 said: Retal, what was your plan if you killed me, when everyone saw I was town and you did an oopsie? Die of laughter IRL, then die of lynching in game. 6 Quote
ChopBam Posted January 2, 2021 Report Posted January 2, 2021 1 hour ago, Retaliation said: Die of laughter IRL, then die of lynching in game. This is art, and the reason I join these games. 0 Quote
Category5 Posted January 2, 2021 Report Posted January 2, 2021 Wow, now that I've worked out the numbers, Shade missing actually gives him an overwhelming chance of being a Conscript. 75% chance just from the shot. Granted, it starts out at 40% given the fact that there are five of them, but this statistical effect is stronger than the other game due to how unlikely it is for any other role to miss. Miss chance is effectively 56% for a Conscript and nobody else tops 25% chance for that result. His overall chance of being Mafia is reduced from 25% to 10%. From the solo perspective of Shade, that is clearly a good move to make, as long as you get the result you want. Which is just better than a coin flip. 0 Quote
Category5 Posted January 2, 2021 Report Posted January 2, 2021 I can see why Shade would think this would be a good idea, it's a much more clear effect than before. The fact that the effect is stronger could also mean you get fooled harder when an unlikely event occurs, however. 0 Quote
Category5 Posted January 2, 2021 Report Posted January 2, 2021 This unfortunately means I cannot justify returning fire on him, much as I would like to for his stupid reasoning he used to fire at me in the first place. 0 Quote
Louis Posted January 2, 2021 Report Posted January 2, 2021 6 hours ago, Mojoman said: @Jeod / @Louis Can you clarify what conscript's night action means when it says 'The Allies will know if you practiced.'? Does that mean they'll know specifically who is a conscript? I am not allowed to give you info. 2 Quote
Jeod Posted January 2, 2021 Author Report Posted January 2, 2021 8 hours ago, Mojoman said: @Jeod / @Louis Can you clarify what conscript's night action means when it says 'The Allies will know if you practiced.'? Does that mean they'll know specifically who is a conscript? The description is enough for you. The rest is up to speculation. 2 Quote
OrangeP47 Posted January 2, 2021 Report Posted January 2, 2021 5 hours ago, Category 5 Hurricane said: Wow, now that I've worked out the numbers, Shade missing actually gives him an overwhelming chance of being a Conscript. 75% chance just from the shot. Granted, it starts out at 40% given the fact that there are five of them, but this statistical effect is stronger than the other game due to how unlikely it is for any other role to miss. Miss chance is effectively 56% for a Conscript and nobody else tops 25% chance for that result. His overall chance of being Mafia is reduced from 25% to 10%. From the solo perspective of Shade, that is clearly a good move to make, as long as you get the result you want. Which is just better than a coin flip. I do hope you agree, though, that conscripts shouldn't just mass-out though. 0 Quote
Mojoman Posted January 2, 2021 Report Posted January 2, 2021 2 hours ago, Jeod said: The description is enough for you. The rest is up to speculation. Lame. 4 hours ago, Louis said: I am not allowed to give you info. Double lame. 0 Quote
Mojoman Posted January 2, 2021 Report Posted January 2, 2021 5 hours ago, Category 5 Hurricane said: Maths and such. Disclaimers and such. As long no one objects to this math I'm good with trusting Cat 5's reasoning. (Though it'll probably end up being either the town or scum play of the century with like a 1% miss chance) 0 Quote
Mojoman Posted January 2, 2021 Report Posted January 2, 2021 Though a miss does limit the possibilities and elimates 1 scum role and 2 town roles and heavily indicates he's not 1 other town role and 1 other scum role. So in my mind, that pushes him way more towards town than all that other fancy math. 0 Quote
OrangeP47 Posted January 2, 2021 Report Posted January 2, 2021 13 minutes ago, Voe said: ##vote Orange If you're agreeing with Shade's logic I'm just going to shoot you. 0 Quote
Voe Posted January 2, 2021 Report Posted January 2, 2021 7 minutes ago, OrangeP47 said: If you're agreeing with Shade's logic I'm just going to shoot you. Don't try it. I'm a kaboomer. 0 Quote
OrangeP47 Posted January 2, 2021 Report Posted January 2, 2021 1 minute ago, Voe said: Don't try it. I'm a kaboomer. Voe and not reading the roll sheet in the first page, name a more iconic duo. 0 Quote
Voe Posted January 2, 2021 Report Posted January 2, 2021 1 minute ago, OrangeP47 said: Voe and not reading the roll sheet in the first page, name a more iconic duo. 3 Quote
Voe Posted January 2, 2021 Report Posted January 2, 2021 I decided that Retal is town this match. Thus this vote of mine. 0 Quote
ChopBam Posted January 2, 2021 Report Posted January 2, 2021 Voe is fulfilling his town meta. Next! 0 Quote
OrangeP47 Posted January 2, 2021 Report Posted January 2, 2021 4 minutes ago, Voe said: I decided that Retal is town this match. Thus this vote of mine. And that has what to do with me? 0 Quote
Voe Posted January 2, 2021 Report Posted January 2, 2021 2 minutes ago, OrangeP47 said: And that has what to do with me? He shot you. Surely must have had a good reason. 0 Quote
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